Gold Weakens Further as Oil Surge Revives Inflation Concerns

Ved Shah

May 4, 2026

Ladies and gentlemen, the Australian Gold Weekly Review is back, and this week, markets continue to grapple with the growing impact of geopolitical uncertainty and inflation fears.

Gold ended the week at US$4,613/oz, with silver closing around US$75/oz. The pressure across precious metals remains tied to the same core driver: escalating tensions between the United States and Iran, which continue to push oil prices higher and reignite concerns around inflationary pressures globally.

And that pressure is becoming increasingly visible in energy markets.

Oil closed the week at approximately US$102/bbl, as investors continue to monitor developments surrounding the US-Iran situation. Elevated oil prices are now forcing markets to reconsider the broader inflation outlook, particularly at a time when central banks remain cautious around the timing of future rate cuts.

And then we come to the gold equities space.

The ASX All Ordinaries Gold Index ended the week at 16,873 points, declining alongside weakness in the gold price itself. After a period of strong momentum earlier in the year, sentiment across the producers space has softened as investors reassess margins, costs and broader macroeconomic risks.

But as always, the most important thing is not simply what markets are doing.

It's understanding how to position portfolios when uncertainty begins to dominate headlines and volatility starts increasing across asset classes.

And that's exactly where this week's member's section begins.

Ved and Brian dive into the realities of managing portfolios during periods like these, where inflation concerns, geopolitical risks and commodity volatility are all colliding at once. How should investors think about risk management? Where should capital be allocated? And how do you balance conviction with caution when markets become increasingly unpredictable?

Because in markets like this, protecting capital becomes just as important as growing it.

Tune in to find out.



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Brian contributes his insights on precious metals and mining stocks via free and paid newsletters with independent publisher, Fat Tail Investment Research. You can learn about his work by visiting www.daily.fattail.com.au. Fat Tail Investment Research is part of The Agora, a renowned international financial solutions publisher.

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